GMI: 6; GMI-S: 75; Whipsawed again

The GMI returned to 6 and the GMI-S rose to 75. Gmi0124_2  The QQQQ appears to be starting another up-trend (U-1).  It also looks like GOOG may have another earnings related bounce–it reports on 1/31.  There were 303 new highs on Wednesday in my universe of 4,000 stocks. 80-90% of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow 30 indexes rose.  The 30 day moving average for the QQQQ is flat and when that happens the index often times goes back and forth around its 30 day average.  These whipsaw moves are very frustrating and hard to trade profitably.  As long as the GMI is above 3, it may be better to stay long in the other ultra long index ETF’s; MVV, SSO and DDM.  Their underlying indexes are exhibiting consistent up-trends.

See bottom of my prior post for my disclaimers.

1 thought on “GMI: 6; GMI-S: 75; Whipsawed again”

  1. Dr. Wish, I find that I’m having a lot more success reading just weekly charts for this market. If you look at Google and Apple by weekly charts, we would have had very little reason to sell them, yet I was well out of Google and Apple by the time the class simulation ended. Even though the market is whipsawing (which drives me crazy too!) the major indexes (NASDAQ comp and S&P 500) have found a remarkable amount of support on their 10 days.

    Trying to “swing trade” in this whipsawing, schitzo market is a good way to lose money. The buying high and selling low lesson is a lesson I’m going to have to learn over and over again.

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