52nd day of $QQQ short term up-trend; Market indexes extended

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I learned this idea from my stock buddy, Judy. Whenever a rising stock or index floats above its rising simple 4 week average (the weekly low is well above the average), that security often times is extended and  it reverts to the average. This weekly chart of the SPY shows times in the recent past when this index ETF has become extended according to this definition. The red dotted line is the 4 week average. We may be facing a consolidation or brief pause now as DIA and QQQ are also showing this pattern.

 

47th day of $QQQ short term up-trend; indexes go vertical; $NVDA weak

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Whenever a daily stock chart shows a stock or ETF going vertical, I usually get off. Both the SPY, QQQ and DIA have vertical patterns. I have therefore become very defensive. Take a look at this chart of QQQ.

I am also concerned that NVDA, a leader, could not go to a new high on good earnings. There are signs of high volume institutional selling in NVDA. It shows up clearly in a weekly chart. Look at the huge red volume spikes of selling at the two peaks. Failure to retake these peaks would set up a major decline in the stock–and probably the market….