Stock Market Technical Indicators & Analysis
As I indicated in a tweet, @wishingwealth, intraday last Friday, I went to cash in my trading account. Too many breakouts have failed. GLD looked like it had experienced a high volume reversal. SPY and QQQ have now closed below their 10 week averages. Another weak day will turn the GMI to Red. I will wait to see if we get a strong earnings related bounce this week. This market is not acting well enough for me to take on long positions. Sell in May is almost upon us.
Thus far, QQQ has held above last week’s low of 435.11 and has reclaimed its 4 and 10 week averages. My adapted weekly GMMA chart shows QQQ to remain in a sustained RWB up-trend. The dotted line represents each weekly close. The purple dots are the weekly lows. We want all the short term (red) averages to rise above the longer term averages (blue) with a large white band separating them, hence the RWB pattern.
AMZN had a GLB on Thursday. I would have liked to see an increase in volume. AMZN must not close back below its green line, at 188.65.
Note that I have added a red dot indicator to my primary daily chart. A red dot indicates that a stock closes down on the day it exceeded its upper daily 15.2 Bollinger Band. I do not want to buy on a red dot bar and sometimes may want to sell or trade a potential decline. QQQ has been bouncing between its Bollinger Bands for some time. QQQ is also on its 50 day average (green dotted line). The GMI =2 and could turn Red on Thursday. Be careful.
