GMI: +4; trend too hard to discern

The GMI remains at +4, but there are a lot of stroGmi0126ng stocks.  There were 443 new highs on Thursday in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  This was the most new highs since 541 on January 9.  There were 245 successful 10 day new highs, stocks that hit a new high 10 days ago and closed higher on Thursday than they did 10 days ago.  Buying new highs has been profitable again.  Three quarters of stocks closed above their 10 week averages, but only 48% are in a short term up trend.  Still, the leaders have been strong.  89% of the stocks that doubled over the past year closed above their 30 day averages and 27% hit a new high on Thursday.  36% of stocks are now within 5% of their 52 week highs.  85% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks advanced, along with 67% of the S&P 500 stocks and 73% of the Dow 30 stocks.  The Daily SPY index is now too close to call.  The QQQQ and DIA remain below their 30 day averages.  Thursday was the fourth day in the QQQQ short term decline (D-4). 

My indicators are not consistent with each other and the short term trend is too difficult to call.  The bounce back from last Friday’s large decline has been weak.  I will wait for the DIA and QQQQ to reclaim their 30 day averages before I will be confident of a new up trend.

Please send your comments to:  silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI: +4; Internals still weakening

The GMI increased one to +4.  This is because 52% of the 372 stocks in my universe that hit a new high 10 days ago closed higher on Wednesday than they closed 10 days before.  Gmi0125 There were 322 new 52 week highs.  But only 33% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose, along with 42% of the S&P 500 stocks and 57% of the Dow 30 stocks.  The percentage of stocks in a short term up trend declined 3, to 46% and the percentage closing above their 10 week averages also declined 3, to 68%.  Wednesday was the third day of the QQQQ decline (D-3).  With the QQQQ below its 10 week average, this remains a good time to sit on the sidelines…….

Please send your comments to:  silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI: +3; Market stronger but still in a down trend

The GMI remains at +3, but there were a lot of new highs (333) on Tuesday.  Gmi0124 62% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks advanced, along with 67% of the S&P 500 stocks and 53% of the Dow 30 stocks.  The percentage of stocks in a short term up trend declined to 49%.  But 71% of the 4,000 stocks in my universe remain above their 10 week averages.  Still, the daily QQQQ and SPY indexes remain negative and Tuesday was the second day of the QQQQ short term down trend.

Please send your comments to:  silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.