GMI: +6; up-trend intact; Cramer and MO

The GMI remains at +6 and things held steady Thursday in spite of declines in the averages. Gmi908  Only 38% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks advanced, along with 26% of the S&P 500 stocks and 17% of the Dow 30 stocks.  However, the percentage of stocks in my universe of 4,000 that are in a short term up-trend increased to 43%.  There were also 214 new highs, and 73% of the stocks that hit a new high 10 days ago closed higher on Thursday than they did 10 days earlier. Thursday is day 3 (U-3) of the QQQQ up-trend. Two former leaders showing strength Thursday are FORD  and XWG (I own this).

Thursday night, Cramer cited a Morgan Stanley report released earlier on Thursday estimating that MO’s break up value far exceeds the price of the stock.  Cramer’s Real Money website had also talked up the stock early Thursday afternoon, so MO had already advanced more than 2% by Thursday’s close when Cramer talked about the stock.  When I take a look at MO’s chart (click on to enlarge) I notice a HUGE volume up day on August 18. Mo  I don’t want to be paranoid, but could it be possible that some people knew that MO was going to be up-graded almost 3 weeks before all of this publicity broke?  Maybe it’s all a coincidence, or a number of big buyers came to similar conclusions regarding MO’s being a great bargain, well in advance of the annnouncement??!!  The only consolation for us, is that we technicians might also have jumped on this train in mid-August when MO rocketed to that new high. Will all these "lucky" early buyers of MO unload their shares Friday to the recipients of all of this media hype?  What do you think?

Please send me your feedback at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI: +6; Feeling better

The GMI remains at a strong +6.  I was talking to a retiree I know who is very active in the market.  He buys a large basket of stocks and is usually optimistic.  I was surprised to find that he is very pessimistic about the state of the market and economic conditions.  He is mainly buying preferred stocks and dividend paying stocks.  I told him that I was bullish, not only because the GMI shows the market is rising, but because the news could not get much worse.  With the exception of a terrorist incident in the U.S. or a second hurricane, I just think conditions and sentiment have to improve. I therefore remain true to the GMI and am accumulating stocks. There just are too many technically strong stocks out there.  Have you noticed that GOOG has held up and looks like it may be starting another rise.  Other stocks I own or am looking at include GME, GNSS, LEH, ARE, HANS, WFMI, QQQQ.  I am still short a home builder–this sector looks toppy to me, and SBUX, which has steadily weakened since I flagged it as a sick stock on my post on 8/27.  Gmi907_1

There were 291 new highs Wednesday and 39% of stocks in my universe of 4,000 are in a short term up-trend, the most since 7/29.  64% of stocks that hit a new high 10 days ago closed higher Wednesday than 10 days earlier.  Those of us who buy stocks at new highs are likely to have had some success.  Almost one third (32%) of stocks in my universe are within 5% of their 52 week high and only 4% are near their 52 week low.  62% of stocks closed above their 10 week averages.  How can anyone argue with calling this an up-trending market?!  Between 59%-67% of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and the Dow 30 indexes advanced Wednesday.  We are in day 2 (U-2) of the QQQQ up-trend……………………..

I am slowly recovering from the recent catastrophe, but am still a little reticent to talk about making money in these  times of difficulty for many people. I hope you are doing better also. 

Please send me your feedback at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI: +6; Market analysis still suspended

The market strengthened considerably Tuesday.  Normally, I would wait one more day for my daily indicators to turn positive. Gmi906_1  But the rise was so consistent across my indicators that I am taking a chance on calling a turn. So the GMI is now at +6.  Tuesday was day 1 of the new up-trend (U-1) in the QQQQ. 36% of the 4,000 stocks in my universe are in a short term up-trend and 62% are above their 10 week averages.  31% of stocks are within 5 percent of their 52 week highs and there were 296 new highs Tuesday. There were more than 100 new highs in each of the past five trading sessions.  51% of stocks closed above their 30 day averages, the highest percentage since August 15. On Tuesday, 88% of the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 stocks advanced, along with 93% of the Dow 30 stocks.