Blog Post: Day 7 of $QQQ short term down-trend, likely to end Friday; 42 new US highs, 367 lows and 8 at ATHs; Two stocks I wrote about on Tuesday evening as having a GLB rocketed higher on Thursday to ATHs, $ANET, $CDNS, see daily charts

GMI1/6
GMI-26/9
T210822%

My Green Line Breakout (GLB) indicator is for me a great way to identify leading stocks. On a monthly chart I draw a horizontal green line on the top of the price bar that reached an all-time-high (ATH) that had not been surpassed for at least 3 months (3 bars). Think of it as a rocket that has climbed to a peak and then rested for at least 3 months. When the stock finally closes above the green line, a GLB, it can be the start of a major advance because the stock has overcome all of the selling by persons who had bought near the higher prior peak. I showed in my Trader Lion 2022 presentation that most of William O’Neil’s huge winners had begun with a GLB.  After a bear market, the number of stocks near an ATH are few. The last 5 days have had fewer than 10 out of more than 6,000 US stocks trading each day at ATHs. (I don’t count stocks under $20 or with negligible volume). Once the GLB occurs, hopefully on above average volume, if I bought, I sell if the stock CLOSEs below the green line. That is a failed GLB. If the stock retakes the green line the rise may resume and I may buy it back. See these daily charts for examples. CDNS had several GLBs which failed and then found support along the green line. ANET also had a failed GLB before taking off.

This monthly chart shows where I draw the green lines. Once I draw a green line I place an alert in TC2000 to tell me when the stock trades through it.

 

Blog Post: Day 6 of $QQQ short term down-trend; 26 US new highs and 562 lows; However, tech stocks, $QQQ, showing some signs of technical strength, see 10/30 weekly chart

GMI1/6
GMI-26/9
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My GMI2, a set of very sensitive indicators focusing mainly on QQQ, has jumped from 1 to 6. QQQ has regained its 10 week average and the 10 week is above the 30 week (see 10/30 weekly chart below). AAPL and MSFT are showing strength. The bottom for QQQ and tech stocks could be in. I will be comfortable buying some TQQQ if/when my QQQ short term trend indicator should turn up. That could happen by Friday if we have two more days of advances. Note that QQQ does not contain financial companies and is therefore less sensitive to the current volatility in bank stocks. I will be most confident of a new major up-trend if the 30 week average should start to rise.