27th day of QQQ short term down-trend; GMI remains on a sell signal; GLD and commodities are weak

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The market remains in a short term down-trend within a longer term up-trend.   I am mainly out of the market and in cash in my trading accounts and remain invested in mutual funds in my university pension. The time for me to be in stocks is after the GMI has given a buy signal. The last GMI signal was a sell in early May.

I own some put options on GLD.   Gold still looks weak to me, especially with the dollar getting stronger.   Look at this recently strong daily chart pattern of the bullish dollar ETF, UUP. Click on chart to enlarge. As the dollar rises in value, it takes fewer of them to buy an ounce of gold, and GLD and other commodities decline.

DBC, a commodity tracking ETF, is back to where it was in December.

Video post is a hit; waiting for a strong signal

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Thank you for the terrific feedback I received on my video.   If you received the post by email and could not access the video, please go directly to the blog site at www.wishingwealthblog.com and go to Monday’s post. I plan to post a video every Monday morning.

We had a nice bounce from oversold on Monday.   It will take a while to see if this is a real turn, however.   I am waiting until things move back up towards resistance to see if things can break through.   If stocks start to weaken again, I will buy some QID to make money as the Nasdaq 100 index stocks decline. This is the time for me to wait on the sidelines and to watch carefully for a signal. Monday was the 26th day of the current QQQ short term down-trend.

 

 

 

My first YouTube Vlog (video blog) Post: Sell in May and Go Away?

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The put/call ratio is at an extreme level, about 1.3, implying a bounce soon. It is a contrary indicator such that when there are more puts than calls, like on Friday, the market is likely to rebound.   And the T2108 is very low, at 16%. The GMI is now zero for the first time since December 15, 2011.   With all of my indicators negative, is this the time to short stocks or the stock indexes?   With my son’s help, I have published my first TA video post, on the current market and the infamous “Sell in May and Go Away” mantra.   Let me know if you want more videos and any suggestions for making them more useful to you.View it full screen to see my charts clearly.