IBD switches back to calling the market in a correction. The GMI, however, has remained on a steady Sell signal since December 10 and was not fooled by the end of year volatility. Monday’s action created a huge gap down with the index trading below its lower Bollinger Band. The market closed near its high for the day and the retracement has likely begun. I suspect the market may move up and fill the gap, but I remain skeptical of any near term rally. A lot of technical damage has been done to this market and the market leaders have been wounded. It felt great to watch this decline from the sidelines, in cash.
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New $QQQ short term up-trend; Happy New Year
The GMI remains on a Sell signal but my QQQ short term trend count has turned up. I do not trust a change in trend until it reaches the 5th day. The QQQ met resistance around 114, as I suspected it might. The market indexes are moving around flat moving averages and are subject to whip-saws until a new trend develops. Next year things will become more clear. Until then, I wish a Happy New Year to all of my guests.
$QQQ short term down-trend may end on Wednesday
IBD sees resumed market up-trend. This strength may reflect mutual fund end of quarter/year window dressing?