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Market up-trend in doubt; mainly in cash

@ 11:09 pm
GMI4/6
GMI-R5/10
T210879%

The QQQQ is resting right on support. A decline on Monday would signal to me the beginning of   a new short term down-trend. There were only 7 new highs and 8 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday.   GOLD broke to an all-time high last week and GLD, the gold ETF,   closed back above its 10 week average. This is an ominous sign, with the dollar in a down-trend.   Buying stocks at new highs may not be a good idea now. Friday was the 42nd day of the current QQQQ short term up-trend. The Worden T2108 is now down to 79%.   And most troubling, only 24% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks have a MACD above their signal line.

A lot of my cash secured puts expired on Friday.   I am going to wait to take on new positions in June options around June 1.   Better to be defensive now and not give back all of the profits made since the March bounce. I am mainly in cash again.

gmi0515

QQQQ short term up-trend in jeopardy, completed 41st day

@ 11:08 pm
GMI4/6
GMI-R5/10
T210883%

My technicals have weakened significantly.   There were only 7 new highs and 8 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Thursday. The QQQQ short term up-trend, now in its 41st day,   will end if the   index cannot hold current levels.   QQQQ is riding right on support.   Meanwhile, the Worden T2108 indicator is now below 90%, after several weeks above that level. Options expire Friday, and I will wait for June 1 to write new puts if the up-trend holds.

QQQQ Up-trend completes 37th day; IBD New America stocks at new highs; ASIA; most of my sold put options expire worthless on Friday

@ 10:56 pm
GMI4/6
GMI-R8/10
T210892%

The QQQQ completed the 37th day of its up-trend on Friday.   However, there were only 16 new highs and 5 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday.   Five of the 16 were on my IBD100 lists:   VNUS, GMCR, HANS, LINC and INT.   All of these 5 but   VNUS were also on the IBD New America page at some time this year.   I keep a watchlist of New America stocks to look for possible winners.   New America stocks are companies that IBD staff think have innovative products and exciting businesses.

Both Nicolas Darvas and IBD’s William O’Neil have written that winning growth stocks tend to have great stories behind them.   Most of the New America stocks eventually make it onto the IBD100 stocks lists.   So it is worth watching these stocks.   INT was on the New America list last February around $31 and closed on Friday at $41.90.   And HANS was written about last January around $34 and closed Friday at $42.55.   So, stocks on the New America list often take off sometime after their story is published in IBD.   One recent addition to the New America list that looks promising technically to me if it can break $18.60, is ASIA.  

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