Blog Post: Day 11 of $QQQ short term down-trend; Only 17% of NASDAQ 100 stocks closed above their 50 day averages; Revised GMI table now includes the Weekly 10.4 Stochastic, a key indicator of a rising market or stock, see $QQQ and $NVDA; Cash is King!

GMI1/6
GMI-22/9
T210829%

I recently discovered that the weekly 10.4 stochastic is a great indicator for an advancing market or stock. I am now recording the value in the last line of my GMI table, see below.  Look at this weekly chart of QQQ. Note that the strong advancing market typically has a weekly 10.4 stochastic >=80 for many weeks in  a row. This stochastic basically shows whether a stock is currently near the top of its range over the past 10 weeks. A daily stochastic with a value >80 is typically considered to be a sign of being overbought. But for a weekly time period it tells me that the stock or index  is currently close to the top of tis 10 week price range. Isn’t that what we want to see in advancing market indexes or individual stocks? QQQ’s current 10.4 weekly stochastic is now=55, indicating to me the end of the recent multi-week  advance. Most of my scans for strong stocks now require that the stock have a weekl y10.4 stochastic>80 for 5 or more weeks in a row. That is a strong rising stock. Here are two examples. Try it out.

Screenshot
Screenshot

 

 

Screenshot

Blog Post: Day 9 of $QQQ short term down-trend; 21 US new highs, 79 lows and 4 at ATH; I am 100% cash; My adapted GMMA daily charts tell the short term story; when the RWB pattern disappears, I exit; see example charts of $QQQ,$DIA,$SPY,$NVDA,$TSLA

GMI1/6
GMI-21/9
T210822%

My adapted daily GUPPY, GMMA charts tell me when an up-trend has ended. My former student, Richard Moglen, tells how to build them using TC2000. As long as the shorter term (red) averages are rising above the longer term (blue) averages with a white space separating them, RWB, the up-trend is intact. When the white space disappears it is time for me to raise stops and/or exit. When the pattern reverses to BWR, I am out or short, see TSLA. The dotted line is the daily close. Check out these charts. A picture is worth how many $$$$?

Screenshot
Screenshot
Screenshot
Screenshot
Screenshot

Blog Post: GMI turns RED; Day 6 of $QQQ short term down-trend; only 28% of NASDAQ 100 stocks closed above their 50 day averages; cash is king!

GMI2/6
GMI-21/9
T210828%

QQQ has broken below its recent support level on above average volume. DIA and SPY are equally weak. Support may be around 405 or the green line at 408. This is the time for me to be on the sidelines in my trading accounts. The longer term trend remains up but the GMI has turned RED. If the GMI hits zero, I will begin to transfer my conservative retirement funds from mutual funds into money market funds.

Screenshot