Blog post: Day 1 of $QQQ short term up-trend; GMI still Red; 13 stocks pass my WeeklyGreenBar scan: $LNTH,$STLD,$MCK,$MATX,$MOH,$CBZ, $ABBV + 6 others listed….

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GMI-26/9
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No one knows whether the market’s final bottom is in or if this is just a dead cat bounce. The major indexes are still below their declining 30 week averages. So the longer term trends are down but we now have a short term up-trend. A change in the short term trend is more tradable once it lasts 5 days. If the GMI can flash Green I may become more confident of this turn….

My TC2000 WeeklyGreenBar scan helps me find stocks trading at all-time highs that have strong relative strength and technical strength. I applied the scan to a watchlist of 483 stocks that have appeared on promising lists in IBD or MarketSmith in the past few months. Seven of those stocks passed this scan. When I scanned all 6.997 US stocks, it found another 6 stocks. In this table, the IBD/MarketSmith stocks have a blue flag. The last column shows Friday’s trading volume divided by the  average volume the past 50 days. Some of these stocks may turn out  to be true market leaders. I will monitor them. I have very small positions in a few of them in my trading IRA and remain 100% cash in my university pensions.

The GMI remains 2, of 6. When the GMI registers 4 or more for two consecutive days it will flash Green.

 

 

 

Blog post: IBD declares new market up-trend after follow through day; but the GMI remains= 0, $QQQ is in a Stage 4 down-trend and a daily BWR down-trend, see GMMA chart of the 2020 bottom

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GMI-24/9
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The oversold rally has begun. Is it the bottom or a dead cat bounce?  No one knows. I am a trend follower. I will wait until the major indexes retake their 30 week averages and  turn up in  new Stage 2 up-trends and the GMI turns Green.  I therefore remain on the sideline. Here are the weekly and daily GMMA charts of QQQ. QQQ remains in a Stage 4 down-trend and in a daily BWR down-trend. I have seen bear markets begin after the index returned to the declining 30 week average (red solid line). Then the real decline began.


Here is the 2020 bottom. I want to see a daily RWB up-trend when all of the short term red averages rise above the blue longer term averages. The greatest trader, Jesse Livermore, said it was his sitting tight and not his trading that determined his success.