Blog post: Day 11 of $QQQ short term up-trend; $SPY just holding 30 week average, $QQQ, $IWM and $DIA are below; most foreign country ETFs are in down-trends

GMI5/6
GMI-24/9
T210858%

The SPY is just hanging on to its 30 week average but the 4 wk has crossed above the 10 wk. This week should reveal its likely trend. Remember, we are approaching “Sell in May” time.

But the 10/30 weekly chart of the SPY shows a possible change in trend (towards down).

 

I looked at the 10/30 weekly charts for 36 ETFs representing foreign markets. Only 9 of them had their 10 week avg >30week avg for at least 2 weeks. They are: Thailand (THD), Peru (EPU), Qatar (QAT), United Kingdom (EWU), Mexico (EWW), Canada (EWC), Brazil (EWZ), South Africa (EZA) and Chile (ECH).  Many countries look like China (GXC). What is this telling us about the health of the world economies?

The GMI is at 5 (of 6). The only way the GMI will turn 6 is if the QQQ retakes its 30 week average (solid red line). Stay tuned.

 


Blog post: $QQQ, $DIA meet resistance at 30 week average; $SPY holds just above; Failure to hold 30 week average could portend significant Stage 4 decline, see weekly charts

GMI6/6
GMI-25/9
T210856%

Failure to hold above a declining 30 week average is a very ominous sign of weakness.   Too many break-outs are failing.  End of quarter mutual fund window dressing is over. Time to be defensive on the sidelines and wait for the signal. The market should reveal its major trend in a week or so.