GMI: +6; Rally continues

The GMI is still at +6, as this rally continues to roll on.  Gmi1119 There were 121 successful 10 day new highs–stocks that reached a new high ten days ago and closed higher on Monday than they closed ten days earlier.  There were again more than 300 new highs (311) in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  53% of stocks are now in a short term up-trend and 60% closed above their ten week moving averages.  Three times as many stocks are within 5% of a new high than a new low (25% vs. 8%).  Between 63-66% of the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow 30 stocks advanced on Monday.  Monday was the fifteenth day of the QQQQ rally (U-15).

How have you used this site to inform your trading?  Can you send me some experiences I can post for others  (anonymously, with your prior permission)?  Please send your pearls of Wishdom to me at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com

Nicolas Darvas bio; GMI: +6; QQQQ biggest gainers; More strong doublers at new highs

Nicolas Darvas attracts the fascination of many traders.  Some of my readers have asked for more information about this amazing dancer-trader.  While I know he is deceased, the best source on Darvas is the article (available for a small fee from the TIME magazine archive) that made him famous–Pas de Dough, May 25, 1959.  If anyone else knows a better source about Darvas, please send it in.  Also, check out my piece on his little known and rare final book, cited in my favorite posts link on Darvas, to the lower right.

The GMI closed the week at +6.  Gmi1118 There were 323 new highs on Friday, the highest number since October 3.  Between 62-64% of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow 30 indexes rose on Friday.  23% of the 4,000 stocks in my universe are now within 5% of a 52 week high, compared to 9% near a new low.  Friday was the fourteenth day (U-14) of the QQQQ up-trend.  Since this up-trend began on November 1, the QQQQ has risen +6.6%.  During this period, 81% of the 100 stocks in the Nasdaq 100 have advanced.  This again  shows that if we traded with the up-trend in the QQQQ average, we had an 81% chance of having a profit.  The top ten gainers during this period are:  LVLT (+40.8%), MRVL (+25%), AMZN (+18.9%); FAST (+17.7%), ATYT (+16.9%), QCOM (+16.3%), WYNN (+16.1%), INTU (+15.9%)MLNM (+15.4%) and GILD (+15.3%).  I  hope you owned some of these.  33 of the Nasdaq 100 stocks have gained 10% or more since this up-trend began.

The WPM shows improvement in all indexes, but the S&P small cap.  Wpm111805 All five indexes are above their 30 day and 30 week averages.  But 82% or more of the component stocks in all these indexes but the small cap are above their 30 day averages.  In contrast, only 73% of small cap stocks are in a short term up-trend.  The small cap stocks are also least likely to be above their 30 week averages (61%).  Thus, while most stocks are participating in this up-trend, the small caps are laggards, for now.

Among the stocks that hit a new high Friday, have strong recent quarterly earnings and are up at least 60% in the past year are: GOOG, PLLL, CUTR, UBB, ISRG, IRIS, MDR, HUBG, MRVL, HOLX, RES, GHL, SUPX, CX, KYPH, CDIS,GOL and CERN.  (I own some of these.)  These stocks are prime rockets for further research and consideration.

How have you used this site to inform your trading?  Can you send me some experiences I can post for others  (anonymously, with your prior permission)?  Please send your pearls of Wishdom to me at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com

GMI back to +6; A very strong day for techs; Pearls of Wishdom?

The GMI regained the maximum level of +6 as there were 234 new highs on Thursday.  There were also 199 successful 10 day new highs–stocks that hit a new high 10 days ago and closed higher Thursday than 10 days earlier.  This is the largest number since September 16 and shows that buying new highs has been profitable.  58% of the 4,000 stocks in my universe closed above their 10 week averages, the highest percentage since September 13.  Gmi1117_2 By the way, September 13 also was a short term peak in the QQQQ, so high values on some of my indicators could also represent a minor top.  92% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose on Thursday, along with 88% of the S&P 500 stocks and 80% of the Dow 30 stocks.  There has not been a day when 90% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks advanced, since I began posting the GMI in late May.  So yesterday was an unusually strong day for the tech stocks.  79% of the stocks that have doubled in the past year closed above their 30 day averages and twice as many stocks are within 5% of their new highs than new lows (22%/10%).  Thursday was the thirteenth day of this QQQQ rally (U-13).  To sum it up, enjoy this strong rally, but we should watch for any signs of irrational exuberance and a minor top.

How have you used this site to inform your trading?  Can you send me some experiences I can post for others  (anonymously, with your prior permission)?  Please send your pearls of Wishdom to me at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com