GMI: 4; Waiting for a show of strength

The GMI fell to 4; only 61 new highs in my stock universe and only 10-18% of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow 30 indexes rose on Wednesday.  The last time we saw numbers like this was July 11 and 12.  Gmi0906 The short term up-trend in the QQQQ is still intact and is in its thirteenth day.  Still, I am holding off accumulating any more stock until I see another strong up day.

Please send your comments to:  silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI: 5; no changes; IBD 100 stocks stronger

The GMI is still 5; there were 177 new highs on Tuesday in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  Gmi0905 Tech and growth stocks are stronger than other sectors of the market.  I am still accumulating stocks as this rally continues.  Tuesday was the twelfth day of the current QQQQ up-trend.  71% of the IBD 100 stocks from 8/14 closed higher on Tuesday than they did on 8/14 and 14 of them (14%) hit a new yearly high–but only 4% of my universe of stocks hit a new high. We are seeing a resurgence of the IBD 100 type growth stocks…….

Please send your comments to:  silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI: 5; GMI track record

The GMI remains at 5.  Gmi0901 On Friday, there were 183 new highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks and only 9 new lows.  67% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose, along with 72% of the S&P 500 stocks and 97% of the Dow 30 stocks.  81% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks have now closed above their 30 day averages.  24% of my universe of stocks are within 5% of their yearly high.  66% of the IBD 100 stocks from 5/15 advanced on Friday, as did 60% of my stock universe.  It looks like the strong IBD 100 type of growth stocks are now leading the market up.  Friday was the eleventh day in the current QQQQ up-trend….

I thought it might be useful to see how the GMI performed during the recent decline.  Gmiperformance0902 As the chart shows (click on to enlarge), the GMI topped out at 6 on May 8 and 9 and fell to 4 on May 11.  It remained below 5 until August 16 and was between 0-2 during most of the decline.  Between May 11 and August 16, the QQQQ declined 5.3% and 70% of the QQQQ stocks (Nasdaq 100) declined.  It was during this period that it made sense to be in cash or short.  Now that the GMI is hovering around 5, it is time for me to be adding stocks.  When the GMI turns 6, the up-trend will be on a strong footing……………

Please send your comments to:  silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.