QQQQ short term up-trend reaches 30th day; tech leaders sputter; RWB stock: FIRE

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GMI-R10/10
T210882%

The sell off in tech stocks Monday night after earnings were released is a warning sign, but all of my indicators remain positive and the up-trends are intact.   Still, as a trend trader I rarely get out at the top, only after the trend has reversed. It will be important to see where support comes in for the leaders. A   stock that came up in my scan Monday night is FIRE. It may be breaking from a base and starting a new RWB run, as this weekly chart shows (click on to enlarge). It also has a promising monthly chart. I have not researched it yet, but if I bought FIRE, my sell stop would be near support, around 26.89.

Amazing action in GOOG and AAPL lifts my accounts; RWB stock: APKT

I am amazed at how effective the GMI and GMI-R have been for keeping me on the right side of the market.   While the media pundits were talking about a possible double dip recession and a head and shoulder’s top on the indexes, the GMI went positive with a reading of 4 on September 3rd and has registered 5 or 6 since then.   This time when the buy signal occurred I bought QLD (the 2X ultra long QQQQ index) and have seen it rise nicely, capturing the strength in the technology stocks.   I also bought options on   AAPL and more recently on GOOG and have seen one of my accounts increase more than 100%. In a prior post I showed you how to buy expensive stocks like AAPL with only 10% down   using deep in the money call options. I bought deep in the money calls on AAPL recently and the trade worked out well.   Check out my earlier post………

So the GMI remains at 6 (of 6) and the more sensitive GMI-R at 10 (of 10).   The QQQQ short term up-trend completed its 29th day on Friday and the QQQQ and SPY have closed above their critical 10 week averages for 7 straight weeks. The T2108 has weakened a little to 81%, still near overbought territory.   More than one half (52%) of the Nasdaq 100 stocks closed with their MACD above its signal line, a sign of short term strength. So, I remain 100% long in my university pension and my margin account.   My IRA is substantially invested in long positions in stocks or options…

I ran my favorite scan of stocks in my IBD100/NEW America watch list, looking for stocks that were in up-trends and bouncing up off of support. One of the stocks that came up was APKT.   The weekly chart below (click on to enlarge) shows that APKT is a RWB stock.   I like it as long as it remains above $36.

Option expiration Friday; RWB stock ARMH bounces 30 day; BWR stock APOL collapses

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GMI-R10/10
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Friday is option expiration day.   Tech stocks should rise early, in reaction to   GOOG’s good earnings.   The GMI and GMI-R remain at their maximum levels.   Below is a daily chart of ARMH, which just bounced from its 30 day average after having an oversold stochastic reading.   ARMH has been   a strong RWB stock. If I bought ARMH,   I would place a stop below the 30 day average just below the recent low, at   17.69. Click on chart to enlarge.

Meanwhile, APOL fell 23% on Thursday.   Given that it was a BWR stock, are we surprised?