GMI at 5 and T2108 falls to 71%

GMI5/6
GMI-26/9
T210871%

The market has weakened just a little.   This week we will see if AAPL will fall after its product news is released.   If it does, we might get that several week post earnings release lull until the end of March when mutual funds will engage in window dressing of their portfolios so they will look good to investors.   We might then see a rise as first quarter earnings are released in early April.   I am hoping this scenario comes true. Meanwhile the GMI dropped one, to 5 but the buy signal of 12/23 remains intact. Friday was the 46th day of the current QQQ short term up-trend. The T2108 is finally moving out of over-bought territory, but is still far above the level where a new up-trend in that indicator typically begins. With these mixed signals, I am inclined to wait a few days to see if this market rally holds up.

44th day of QQQ short term up-trend; T2108 declining

GMI6/6
GMI-26/9
T210875%

The gradual decline in the T2108 over the past 4 weeks (see weekly chart below) reflects weakening in the NYSE stocks.   In addition, only 28% of the 5900 stocks in my stock universe advanced on Wednesday, and only 21% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks.   Only 33% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks closed with their daily MACD above its signal line. Furthermore, the sudden collapse in gold and the many recent failed break-outs are flashing warning signs.   It is likely that the post-earnings lull is beginning.   I have cut my positions or hedged them by writing covered calls.   AAPL looks extended to me and may sell off in advance of or just after the IPAD3 news is released next week.   Be careful.