More new lows than highs; T2108 and stochastic in oversold territory


For the first time since early November, there were more new lows than new highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday. Furthermore, the Worden T2108 indicator is getting near the level (below 20%) where declines sometimes end.   Friday was the 11th day of the current QQQQ short term down-trend.   We are either at the beginning of a major decline, or near the end of a short term correction.   The best course for me is to wait for the market to tip its hand.   The GMI remains at

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Exciting New Worden stock tool–volume buzz at


I recently attended a Worden seminar about their new software,, which will eventually probably replace TC2007, my favorite analytic program.   While there, they talked about the   free software that they make available to everyone, is a platform that is very similar to their new StockFinder software, but it is free and   provides real time charts and statistics.   While many sites provide intraday prices, I learned at the seminar that has an indicator called “volume buzz.”   Volume buzz compares   each stock’s volume to its average volume at a specific time during the trading day.   (I do not know over how many time periods the average is computed.) So, for example, at 10:05 AM I can rank my watchlist by how each stock’s current volume at 10:05 AM compares with its average volume at 10:05 AM.

I can therefore see anytime during the day whether a stock is trading an unusually high or low number of shares.  volumebuzz Volume buzz therefore   enables someone   to spot unusual volume in their specific watchlist anytime during the trading day. One just edits the watchlist column to include volume buzz. The picture to the right, taken after Friday’s close, shows that the volume for TYH on Friday was 85.7% above its average total trading volume by the end of the day.   Of course, if I had taken a screen shot during the day, the volume buzz statistic would have been computed based on the exact time during the trading day when I would have taken the screen shot. Pretty neat! also enables me to set alerts for each stock, that can be emailed to me immediately when a stock trades in a specific way.   (A larger number of alerts and stock scans require a paid for premium service.) Check it out.   Meanwhile, the GMI is at 5 and the GMI-R is at 9.   The indexes are still near the top of their Bollinger bands and it may not be a great time to start taking on new longs.GMI1023 But as long as the longer term trends are up, chances are that the daily advance will resume suddenly.   When stocks surge   on good earnings, like AAPL, AMZN and NFLX did last week, we know that we are in a strong up-trend where funds and traders are buying strength.   The QQQQ and SPY index ETF’s have closed above their critical 10 week averages for 15 straight weeks.   It is unfortunate that so many people have missed this rise.   One needs to follow the trend and not try to second guess it.   As long as the trend is up, I can go long and manage risk by placing sell stops beneath key support levels.

Using Bollinger bands to avoid buying extended from support.


When I teach my class to honors students I find that the biggest mistake they make in trading is buying a stock when it is too extended from support.   They buy when it is extended and then sell as it falls back to support.   I did that a lot until I reviewed several losses and discovered that pattern.   To make money, all I had to do was to reverse my actions–buy where I had been selling and sell where I had been buying.   But how can one do that effectively?  

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