Stock Market Technical Indicators & Analysis
NNE, which came public in 2024, had a GLB to an ATH on high volume last week. See the weekly and daily charts. Its RS=99 but it has no earnings. It is in the hot nuclear energy sector and is worth researching. Someone knows something to result in such high volume buying.
The GMI=5 and remains on a Green signal. SPY and QQQ are above their 10 week averages.
I spent Saturday and Sunday at Mark’s tremendous Gala and 60th birthday party. I met hundreds of wonderful people enrolled in Mark’s programs and I spoke on the green line break-out (GLB) strategy. Attendees were excited to hear how I developed the GLB and apply it. I was very grateful for their warmm response. Friday’s program had presentations by Mark and others who had made tremendous trading gains using Mark’s strategies. Stan Weinstein also presented! It was wonderful to meet the originator of Stage Analysis. Stan and others were concerned that after 2 great years, the market was likely extended and due for a rest. The Magnificent 7 stocks that have dominated the market indexes reminded him and me of the Nifty 50 stocks of the 70s. It was said that widows and orphans could buy these stocks and never should sell them. And then in the bear market of 1974 the Nifty 50 were decimated. Will that happen to the Magnificent 7? No one knows, but I will not marry any of them.
While the market may be extended, the GMI has now turned 4 and could turn Green by Monday’s close. It is important not to marry a scenario and to remain flexible and ready to respond to what Mr. Market does. So I remain open to the possibility that the recent weakness is ending and a new $QQQ short term up-trend could begin. If it does, I will grit my teeth and begin to accumulate $TQQQ very slowly, always at higher levels. The analyses I have posted over the years have shown repeatedly that in a significant advance in QQQ, TQQQ rises about 3x as much and beats more than 90% of all individual stocks. Why try to find the rare needle in a haystack that can beat TQQQ? Stay tuned… Below is an example of a stock approaching a GLB.
$VITL is nearing its green line, at 48.41. I put in an alert to tell me if it trades at 48.42. VITL has already tripled the past year and has an IBD/MS composite rating= 99. I never anticipate a break-out but wait for the break-out to happen. If VITL can CLOSE above 48.41 it will be a GLB. If I buy it, I will sell immediately if it closes back below the green line. This weekly chart shows above average volume last week and a possible cup and handle pattern. New users can sign up on this post to receive my blog automatically.
With bonds in a steep decline, the market will have competition from higher interest rates. This chart shows a daily RWB down-trend. With the GMI=1, I am mainly in cash in my trading accounts. There were only 45 US new highs and 218 lows on Friday. This is not a market for me to buy stocks at highs. But earnings season may cause a short term bounce up with so many indicators oversold. I won’t trust a rise until my indicators strengthen. Too many people I meet have gains from the past two years and remain eternally bullish–until the next large decline scares them out, at the bottom. If T2108, now 20%, should go below 10% I may become interested in nibbling on an S&P500 index ETF, not in individual stocks, many of which might not recover.
