Market roars on with the GMI-informed QLD strategy beating most stocks; GRA break-out

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On Friday there were   680 new 52 week highs in my universe of stocks, the most since December, 2010! If I had invested in the QQQ ETF since the GMI flashed a buy signal on July 30, 2012 my account would be up +8.3%,   if in DIA +4.2%, SPY +6.2%,     AAPL +16.2% and in QLD + 16.9%, .   Investing in the leveraged QQQ 2X long ETF, QLD,   again beats investing in these other things.   How many times have I learned this lesson, to just invest in QLD when the GMI issues a buy signal (and QID when it issues a sell signal). It sure beats looking for the “needle in the haystack” that will outperform QLD. In fact, only 11 of the Nasdaq 100 stocks advanced more than QLD in this period.   Furthermore,     QLD during this period beat 89% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks and 86% of the S&P 500 stocks. And   QLD is dependent on the Nasdaq100 stocks, not just one stock. Sometimes I think I should replace myself with a computer that will simply trade QLD or QID in accordance with the GMI signals. (I know the 3x technology bull ETF,   TECL,   did even better, + 25.9%.)

By the way, GRA had a cup and handle green line break-out last week.   I had set a TC2000 alert weeks ago and when it triggered last week I bought some GRA. Check out this weekly chart and note the high trading volume last week. Click on chart to enlarge.

 

 

29th day of QQQ short term up-trend; AAPL’s week

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Both the GMI and GMI2 are at their maximum readings.     The GMI buy signal of July 30 remains in effect. 50% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks have now closed with their MACD above its signal line, a sign of short term strength. However, the Worden T2108 indicator is now at 78%, very close to extreme overbought territory. This week AAPL announces the new iphone 5.   The reaction to the announcement will be very interesting to watch and may provide an indication of the health of the market, at least with regard to tech stocks. This weekly chart of AAPL shows how nicely AAPL has progressed since breaking a green line top to an all-time high a few weeks ago. Click on chart to enlarge.

 

 

 

25th day of QQQ short term up-trend; beware September

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The GMI and GMI2 are each holding at 5 (of 6) and the last GMI signal was a Buy on July 30. Note, however, that only 22% of the Nadaq 100 stocks closed with their MACD above its signal line, a sign of short term weakness. I am a little concerned that we are in September, the worst month for the market. Let’s see if AAPL can lead the techs higher. Only three stocks came up in my new high with great fundamentals scan:   CAB, TCBI, CCI.