Stock Market Technical Indicators & Analysis
Note the low of the market (SP-500) and 20+ year treasury bonds (TLT) occurred simultaneously last November. Then bonds rose and went sideways as pundits expected the Fed to lower rates. Now bonds are back in a BWR down-trend and the market is weakening. Cash is king! The next advance will be under way when the shorter averages (red lines) for TLT rise above the longer term averages (blue lines) and form a RWB pattern. Stay tuned….
Arrow shows trading after hours! Better to exit when the RWB pattern first disappeared. Best to hold stocks in RWB up-trends.
We want to buy or hold stocks/ETFs that are closing repeatedly (dotted line) above all of the shorter averages (red lines) which in turn should be rising above the longer term averages (blue lines) so that there is a white space between them=RWB pattern. The opposite pattern, BWR, shows a down-trend. BA shows a RWB pattern turning into a BWR pattern. There is no excuse for riding a BWR pattern. This is a daily chart. A weekly chart shows longer term patterns the same way. When the white space disappears it is time to exit until a new trend develops. NFLX and CAVA are also showing signs of weakening. Wait until a stock closes back above all of the red lines. We want the closing prices (dotted line) to be leading the red lines higher.
CAVA is no longer in a RWB up-trend.
