No post today—on vacation. Many stocks are basing, watching for an up-trend.
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GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0; 67th day of QQQQ short term down-trend; mainly in cash
GMI and GMI-R both back to zero. There were 9 new highs and 121 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Thursday. T2108 is back to 16%. In this volatile market, I remain mainly in cash.
GMI: 0; GMI-R: 1; 66th day of QQQQ short term down-trend; waiting patiently
The GMI remains at zero (of 6), and the more sensitive GMI-R is at one (of 10). 36% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks are now above their 30 day averages, the highest percentage since September 3rd. This is a time to watch patiently for a sign of a change in trend. The indexes are gaining strength, but the key is to wait for a definitive sign of a change. The odds always favor a continuation of the trend, which in the case of the QQQQ, has been down for 66 days. If the GMI rises to 3, I will start going long in at least QLD, the QQQQ ultra-long ETF. I also like a number of the stocks at new highs that I wrote about yesterday.