The put/call ratio is at an extreme level, about 1.3, implying a bounce soon. It is a contrary indicator such that when there are more puts than calls, like on Friday, the market is likely to rebound. And the T2108 is very low, at 16%. The GMI is now zero for the first time since December 15, 2011. With all of my indicators negative, is this the time to short stocks or the stock indexes? With my son’s help, I have published my first TA video post, on the current market and the infamous “Sell in May and Go Away” mantra. Let me know if you want more videos and any suggestions for making them more useful to you.View it full screen to see my charts clearly.
Dr. Wish
T2108 getting oversold at 19%
Once the Worden T2108 Indicator falls below 20% the market is getting very oversold. The last time T2108 was below 20% was last October. Some bottoms occur around this area, but if it breaks below 10% I will start to go long QLD, even with a GMI sell signal in place. The market just does not remain that oversold for long. I will then take a small position and only add to it at higher prices. I would only do this with an index ETF, not an individual stock. Individual stocks can go extinct, but not the entire market. Below is a weekly chart of the T2108 indicator.
23rd day of QQQ short term down-trend; GLD enters Stage 4 decline.
Mainly on the sidelines, in cash. Meanwhile, commodities continue to weaken. This weekly chart of the gold ETF, GLD, shows the deepening down-trend. Weinstein Stage 4 decline has begun. Click on chart to enlarge.