QQQ short term up-trend reaches 41st day, now in jeopardy; T2108 declines

GMI6/6
GMI-24/9
T210870%

The GMI2 is 4, reflecting short term weakness.   Since this up-trend began, the QQQ has advanced almost 9% in only two months.   The market could not maintain that type of momentum indefinitely. A decline in the QQQ on Wednesday would trigger a short term down-trend in the QQQ.   However, with the GMI so strong, I will not touch my university pension accounts. I am cutting way back, however, on my trading accounts for now. This weekly chart shows   that the T2108, at 70%, is now out of extreme territory. Click on chart to enlarge.

KORS looking very strong, has green line break-out

GMI6/6
GMI-26/9
T210878%

With the GMI and GMI2 at maximum readings I am still looking for promising stocks.   I wrote last week about LNKD and today I am highlighting KORS, which I own.   KORS came public in December, 2011, doubled, and then consolidated for about six months. I drew in a green line top on its monthly chart, indicating that the stock formed a top at an all-time high.   KORS broke above the green line in August and has spent five weeks trading back and forth just above the green line, which now serves as support.   Last Friday, however, KORS   surged to a new high on the highest   volume since August 14.   KORS has an IBD Composite rating of 99, the highest possible rating. Check out this weekly chart of KORS. Note the black spikes indicating a lot of trading volume during up weeks. KORS reports earnings on October 28.

Stocks that have come public in the recent past and that show movement to new highs often can have terrific runs when they prove themselves, as more mutual funds begin to notice and   accumulate the new stock. When I buy a stock that has a green line break-out I set my stop loss below the green line. If my analysis is correct, the stock should not close below the green line.

The GMI has been flashing a buy signal since July 30.   The only warning sign I see in the table below is the high T2108 reading (78%).   Readings above 80% can often persist for several months as a temporary top forms.