Blog Post: Day 12 of $QQQ short term down-trend; but it could end Monday and the GMI could also flash Green; On Friday there were 128 US new highs, 11 lows and 48 at ATH; $VITL is approaching GLB; Back from Mark Minervini’s exciting 60th Birthday Gala

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I spent Saturday and Sunday at Mark’s tremendous Gala and 60th birthday party. I met hundreds of wonderful people enrolled in Mark’s programs and I spoke on the green line break-out (GLB) strategy. Attendees were excited to hear how I developed the GLB and apply it. I was very grateful for their warmm response. Friday’s program had presentations by Mark and others who had made tremendous trading gains using Mark’s strategies. Stan Weinstein also presented! It was wonderful to meet the originator of Stage Analysis. Stan and others were concerned that after 2 great years, the market was likely extended and due for a rest. The Magnificent 7 stocks that have dominated the market indexes reminded him and me of the Nifty 50 stocks of the 70s. It was said that widows and orphans could buy these stocks and never should sell them. And then in the bear market of 1974 the Nifty 50 were decimated. Will that happen to the Magnificent 7? No one knows, but I will not marry any of them.

While the market may be extended, the GMI has now turned 4 and could turn Green by Monday’s close. It is important not to marry a scenario and to remain flexible and ready to respond to what Mr. Market does. So I remain open to the possibility that the recent weakness is ending and a new $QQQ short term up-trend could begin. If it does, I will grit my teeth and begin to accumulate $TQQQ very slowly, always at higher levels. The analyses I have posted over the years have shown repeatedly that in a significant advance in QQQ, TQQQ rises about 3x as much and beats more than 90% of all individual stocks. Why try to find the rare needle in a haystack that can beat TQQQ? Stay tuned…   Below is an example of a stock approaching a GLB.

 

$VITL is nearing its green line, at 48.41. I put in an alert to tell me if it trades at 48.42. VITL has already tripled the past year and has an IBD/MS composite rating= 99. I never anticipate a break-out but wait for the break-out to happen. If VITL can CLOSE above 48.41 it will be a GLB. If I buy it, I will sell immediately if it closes back below the green line. This weekly chart shows above average volume last week and a possible cup and handle pattern. New users can sign up on this post to receive my blog automatically.

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Blog Post: Day 11 of $QQQ short term down-trend; $QQQ remains in a downward channel, see yesterday’s post; $AAPL has a failed GLB again, see its daily chart and the weekly chart of $NVDA

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QQQ continues to decline within the downward sloping channel I described in my post last night. Another sign of potential weakness is the fact that AAPL closed Thursday again below its green line. AAPL had a GLB on 11/29. The green line top was at 237.23.  After a recent GLB failure, the attempt to stay back above its green line has failed on above average volume. NVDA is also below its recent green line top, see weekly chart. A close below its 30 week average (red line) could be ominous.

If you have been invited to attend the Minervini Gala this weekend, I hope you will say hello. I will not post again until early next week. My trading accounts are in cash or TBIL. Be careful.

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Blog Post: Day 10 of $QQQ short term down-trend; Is this a dead cat bounce? $QQQ will need to break out of this channel to suggest a real turn up. I am presenting about GLBs at the Minervini Birthday Gala in Myrtle Beach on Friday.

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QQQ has found support at its lower 2.15 Bollinger Band again but it remains in a descending channel. A convincing close above this upper channel, now around 522-23 would suggest to me a real change in trend. Or is this an earnings release rally that will fade after most earnings are out? A post release lull is common. Stay tuned….I will be presenting about GLBs at the Minervini Birthday Gala late Friday. Come say hello.

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