Blog Post–My 2012 Houston TC2000 Users Group video is available at my blog’s Topics/Webinars Tab; I gained a lot by watching!!

GMI4/6
GMI-24/9
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My undergraduate students have an assignment to review it. This slide presents my approach at that time. The video explains each of these rules. Today, I add stocks from the MarketSmith Growth250 list.

 

The GMI remains on a Green signal. I do not remember a market when the QQQ type growth stocks diverged so much from other stocks. I still think the demise of the leaders could foreshadow a general market decline. They always shoot the generals before the troops. If the QQQ can retake its 10 week average I will feel more assured about the market.

 

 

 

Blog post: GMI turns Green and IBD Market Pulse says Resumed Up-trend; Rotation out of growth to reopening stocks but beware, treasury bonds are in solid daily BWR down-trends

GMI4/6
GMI-23/9
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I know the GMI is now on a Green signal but the QQQ remains in a short term down-trend. Since I trade growth stocks, I am still on the sidelines until the QQQ short term trend turns up. If the growth stocks don’t rally, maybe we wait until the stocks left behind the past year have their day and then we enter a real major decline? I am watching the bonds for a clue. Falling bonds means higher interest rates which leads to a declining market.  Below is the TLT, 20 year treasury bond chart. TLT remains in a daily BWR decline.

As is IEF, the 7-10 year treasury bond ETF.

I don’t trust this rally in the Dow stocks.