GMI: +1; Market indexes deteriorate; earnings release website

The GMI has declined to +1.  Gmi923 Only 24% of stocks are in a short term up-trend.  This is the fourth day in the QQQQ down-trend.  Only 71 stocks hit a new high on Friday, out of 4,000 stocks in my universe.  While there were 118 successful 10 day new highs on Friday, this represented only 34% of all stocks that hit new highs 10 days earlier.  So, I still consider this index to be negative. Only 37% of stocks are above their 10 week averages and only 20% are within 5% of their 52 week highs. The extent of the deterioration in the market indexes can be seen in the WPM.

Wpm923

In contrast to last week, now none of the 5 indexes closed above their 30 day averages and only about one third of their component stocks closed above their 30 day averages.  The QQQQ index stocks look the weakest, with only 26% above their 30 day averages.  The Dow 30 stocks tracked by the DIA is now below its 30 week average–a very bad omen.  While the other indexes closed above their 30 week averages, it is noteworthy that only 37% of the Dow 30 stocks and about one half of the stocks in the other indexes are above their 30 week averages. 

This is a very weak market and I remain in cash and short, with few exceptions.  Earnings warnings will be coming out soon and driving some stocks lower. If you want to find out the dates on which specific companies will report earnings, go to this site.

Please send me your feedback at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI: +2; little change

The GMI remains at +2, with little change in my indicators since Wednesday. Gmi922_1 Only 26% of the stocks in my universe of 4,000 are in a short term up-trend.  48% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks, 47% of the Dow 30 and 59% of the S&P 500 stocks rose on Thursday–not a very strong rebound. There were 166 new lows and 114 new highs.  This is day three (D-3) of the QQQQ down-trend.    19% of stocks are within 5% of their 52 week highs and 10% are within 5% of their lows. I remain mostly short or in cash.

Please send me your feedback at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.

GMI:+2; More new lows than highs; IBD growth funds falter; Short or in cash

The market internals deteriorated further Wednesday.  Only 31% of stocks in my universe of 4,000 are in a short term up-trend and 39% closed above their 10 week averages, the lowest reading since I began tracking this indicator last June, and down from a high of 84% in July.  Gmi921 The GMI is at +2.  There were more than 100 new highs yesterday (153) and the longer term QQQQ weekly indicator is still positive.  While there were 104 successful 10 day new highs, this total represented only 36% of all new highs 10 days ago–so I consider this indicator to be questionable (?).  There were more new lows (158) than new highs (153) -a very bad omen.  Most telling, the IBD growth mutual fund index is now below its 50 day average, indicating that the pros are faltering now too.  I never make money trading growth stocks when the growth managers aren’t successful.  The percentage of stocks closing within 5% of their 52 week highs is now down to 20% while those near their lows increased to 10%.  Only 13-22% of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow 30 advanced on Wednesday….

For me, this is a time to be short or in cash.  According to my indicators, we are much closer to the beginning of a decline than to the end.

Please send me your feedback at: silentknight@wishingwealthblog.com.