Dr. Wish

This market looks so bad that I am now 100% in cash, both in my IRA and in my university pension.  This is not the time for me to be a hero and there will be plenty of time to enter the market when the current down-trend ends. It amazes me to hear the media pundits looking for stocks to buy.  I guess they don’t make money unless people trade.

The GMI and GMI-R continue at 1/6 and 10%.  There were 577 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stock on Tuesday, more than there were at the bottom last August.  Only 8% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks closed above their 30 day averages, also lower than the number last August.  On Tuesday, 36% of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100 index rose, along with 55% of the S&P500 and 67% of the Dow 30 stocks. The QQQQ is lying on support and we will have to see whether this index holds.  The QQQQ is in its 8th day of a short term decline.  The Nasdaq 100 index contains no financials; all of the other major market indexes that contain financials have broken below their key 30 week averages.  I am still mainly in cash. 

The GMI and GMI-R remain at 1 and the Worden T2108 indicator is at 17%, in the area where bottoms are likely.  Last August 15,  this indicator fell to near 8% at the bottom of the summer decline. I am still almost entirely in cash.