GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0; 49th day of QQQQ short term down-trend; Worden T2108: 15%: EBS goes higher

The GMI and GMI-R remain at zero and the QQQQ completed its 49th day of its short term down-trend on Friday.   There were 5 new highs and 173 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday.  GMI1107

Nevertheless, there is a lot of strength in the underlying technicals.   More than 90% of the NASDAQ100 and S&P500 index component stocks now have their MACD above its signal line.   This a sign of a possible reversal in these stocks.   And a third of the DOW30 stocks have their 10 day average above their 30 day average, the highest percentage since September 22nd, and up from   0-3% for most of October.   The Worden T2108 Indicator is now at 15%, up from under 1.2% on October 9.   Only 1987 had a lower value, 0.47% on October 20, 1987.   (Worden data on T2108 goes back only to September, 1986.)   So, it looks like we are off of the bottom.   Now we need the major indexes to hold above their October lows to indicate a bottom is in place….

I remain mainly in cash and a little short. I continue to watch EBS, whose break-out I first noted with a chart in my post on October 16, with the stock at 16.66.   It hit a new high again last week and closed at $20.33.   This is the type of explosive stock at an all-time high that I like to buy in a rising market.   So I will watch it and might purchase it when the GMI climbs to 3 or above.   By the way, 2 of the 5 stocks that hit a new high on Friday were on the IBD100 list, AFAM and EBS……

GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0; 48th day of QQQQ short term down-trend; cash and short

Both of my General Market Indicators are zero again.  There were 3 new highs and 189 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Thursday.  This was the highest number of new lows in the past 7 days, but was far less than the numbers reached in the prior decline (over 1,000 new lows per day). I therefore remain mainly in cash with a few short positions. The key to the short term is whether the QQQQ (now at 30.59) can hold these levels and rally to close above 34 in the next few days.  A strong rally from here would be very bullish.  However, trend followers follow the trend and do not act until a reversal has occurred. 

GMI: 0; GMI-R: 2; 47th day of QQQQ short term down-trend; cash and short

Again, there were no changes in my general market indexes.  The major indexes bounced down off of  their declining primary moving averages.  Once this happens, it is a sign that the short term rally is over and the decline will continue, unless we get a close above these moving averages today.  The key to this market is the quality of the next decline and whether the bottom will hold. If it doesn't, the panic selling may return. There were only 3 new highs and 50 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Wednesday.  The T2108 is back to 15%.  The place to be for me now is in cash or a little short.