GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0; 8th day of QQQQ down-trend; stocks at new highs

No change in the GMI and GMI-R.  Note that there were 20 new highs and 452 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Thursday.  This was the highest number of new lows since July 15, when there were 988.  The Worden T2108 indicator is now at 37%.

Whenever the market is weak I keep an eye out for stocks hitting new 52 week highs.  I especially like stocks near their all-time high. These may be the next leaders when the market recovers.  Stocks I am watching (some of which I own) include DXPE, CRMT,  SXE, HGR, FSYS, HWK, VAR, STE.  All of these companies have great earnings and technicals.  Sometimes I cannot resist nibbling at promising stocks even in a declining market, but I always use a close stop.  Cutting losses quickly is the trader's secret weapon–the first loss is often  the smallest loss.  If a stock fails to behave as  I have predicted, I get out of my position.  Do not tolerate a misbehaving stock!  With the small commissions available these days, I can always afford to buy it back if the stock behaves well again.  Some of my best gains have come from buying back stocks that I have been scared out of.  As long as I am trading in a tax deferred account, I do not have to worry about the wash sales tax rules.   Nevertheless, I remain  over 90% in cash during market down-trends—like this.

GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0; 7th day of QQQQ down-trend; comfortably in cash and short

No change from Tuesday; the GMI and GMI-R remain at zero.  There were 26 new highs and 310 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Tuesday.  The Worden T2108 indicator is at 40%, far from bottom territory.  This is a great time to be short or in cash.  Don't let the pundits scare you into the market.  There is plenty of time to jump on board once a bottom is in.  The key is to wait for the turn rather than to try to anticipate one.  A real up-trend last weeks, months and sometimes, years.  The up-trend in the QQQQ  that began in July, 2006 lasted until November, 2007.  One could have entered that market 3 months after the bottom and still have caught the bulk of that rise.  There is plenty of time to get back in after a real turn.

GMI: 0;GMI-R: 0; 6th day of QQQQ down-trend; in cash and short

Well, the GMI and GMI-R remain at zero.  There were only 50 new highs and 372 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Tuesday.  The Worden T2108 indicator is now at 39%; when it falls below 20% I will start looking for a bottom.  In the meantime, I am in cash and short.  My account went up on Tuesday as my shorts rose.  As long as one trades with the trend of the general market it is possible to profit.  This was one of the key rules of all of my favorite gurus (Livermore, Darvas, Weinstein, O'Neil, to name a few.)  It took me over 30 years to learn this simple truth.  Don't let it take you that long.  Simply evaluate your trades the past 2 years in relation to the GMI.  I know you will find that the big gains came while going long when the GMI is above 3.  However, being long when the GMI is less than 3 brings mainly misery and losses.  Keep in mind that there are always a few exceptions to the trend in any market.  I prefer to trade with the odds in my favor.  About 70-80% of stocks follow the market trend.  Why look for the 20% that buck the trend when one can trade with the trend and have an 80% chance of success?