Recent IPO $STNE–GLB Monday, explodes after earnings

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I did not tweet about STNE intraday Monday when it had a GLB because earnings were coming out after the close–always a risky bet. But I did purchase some and it is moving up nicely pre-market. What a beautiful chart pattern. I like IPOs that rest for a few months, form a green line top and then move to an ATH (all-time high). This is one to watch. You can receive my intraday tweets –@wishingwealth

How I Avoid Getting Shaken Out of Strong Growth Stocks

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One of the biggest problems I have faced is that I own a growth stock in a nice up-trend and get shaken out, only to see the stock continue rising. I believe that William O’Neil focused on weekly charts because daily charts contain so much noise. This is why I ask my students to have the rule of looking at the stock’s weekly chart before every sale of a long position. If the stocks is still holding its rising 10 week average I suggest not selling. Most of the time one gets shaken out of a good stock it is because there is a sudden drop below an indicator on the daily chart.

COUP provides an excellent example of this strategy. I bought COUP after its GLB (green line break-out) to an all-time high (ATH). COUP then went sideways for a few weeks and then had a sudden decline below the green line last Friday but closed above its green line. I also often teach my students to sell a GLB stock if it closes below its green line. COUP also declined on above average volume two days later. Both of these events tempted me to sell the stock.  But I retained my position. Here is the daily chart.

 

When I looked at the weekly chart I saw no cause for selling. COUP has actually bounced up off of its rising 10 week average (blue dotted line), a strong technical sign of support. A stock’s failure to hold its 10 week average would be a reason for me to sell.  In fact, the above average volume this week shows up as an up (black) bar! The moral of the story is that while I may time the purchase of a stock based on its set-up of daily indicators, I should only sell it after viewing its weekly chart.