Posted Wednesday, May 5, 2010 @ 11:50 pm by Dr. Wish

First day of QQQQ short term down-trend

GMI

2/6

GMI-R

3/10

What is the GMI?
 

WORDEN T2108

38%

By my definition, the QQQQ up-trend ended Wednesday, after 52 days.  A new short term down-trend has begun.  I own some call options on TYP, which rises 3X as much as tech stocks fall.  If this down-trend lasts 5 days, I will begin to add to my position in TYP.  It is still possible this decline could end in fewer than 5 days, so I will wade in slowly. T2108 is at 38%; as it gets closer to 20% I will look for a bottom. The longer term trend (weekly) of the QQQQ remains up.


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Comments ( 3 )

Hey Dr. Wish, quick question, why 5 days ? Is that something you have seen in past corrections ? Why not add when it falls below a certain moving average ? Thanks for the blog !!!!

Carlos added these pithy words on Thu, 5-6-10 at 9:23 am

I have found that if a down-trend lasts 5 days, there is a greater likelihood it will continue.

Ewish added these pithy words on Thu, 5-6-10 at 1:15 pm

Hello, thank you for thge blog, it is great. I have a question, why buying call on the TYP instead of owninig the ETF outright. Are you looking to leverage yourself behond the 3x the ETF is already leverge?

Thank you again

Hector Herrera added these pithy words on Thu, 5-6-10 at 3:48 pm

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