GMI: 5; Happy New Year!

The GMI remains at 5 and the GMI-S is at 50.  Only 35% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose on Thursday, along with 32% of the S&P 500 stocks and 43% of the Dow 30 stocks. Gmi1228_1 There were 231 new 52 week highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  Thursday was the 6th day in the current QQQQ down-trend.  The Nasdaq 100 stocks and the Dow 30 stocks are clearly on different tracks.  It remains to be seen next year which of these indexes will lead the market.

Happy New Year to all of my readers, and I hope to see you back next year.  Please see my disclaimers at the bottom of yesterday’s post. 

GMI: 5; AAPL; IBD 100 stocks stronger than Nasdaq 100; window dressing?

I guess we all know why AAPL has been weak.  See the beauty of technical analysis?  The bad news was evident in the stock movement long before it was revealed to the rest of us….

The GMI remains at 5, as the major indexes recovered.  72% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose on Wednesday, along with 84% of the S&P 500 stocks and 97% of the Dow 30 stocks.  Gmi1227 There were 306 new 52 week highs on Wednesday and only 7 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  Still, the QQQQ remains in a downtrend; Wednesday was the 5th day of the current down-trend. The GMI-S is back to 50, but none of my short term indicators for the QQQQ are positive.  We will need to see the end of the 4th quarter mutual fund "window dressing," before we know if this rally is for real.  For now, I remain cautious and skeptical.

An interesting difference in strength occurred on Wednesday in the Nasdaq 100 stocks and the IBD 100 stock lists that I follow.Ibdperf1227 90% or more of the IBD 100 stocks rose on Wednesday, compared with 72% the Nasdaq 100 stocks.  More of these IBD 100 stocks hit new highs and they were more likely to close above their 30 day averages.   It sure looks like the fast growing type of stocks selected for  the IBD  100 lists are outperfoming the Nasdaq 100 stocks right now.  Growth stock window dressing by the mutual funds who want to include the winners in their end of year portfolio statements?  What a great way to look smart, given that the funds fail to disclose the price and date of their acquisitions during the prior quarter….

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GMI: 5; 4th day of QQQQ down-trend

The GMI rebounded to 5 on very light volume on Tuesday and will fall back on any market weakness.  64% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose, along with 75% of the S&P 500 stocks and 87% of the Dow 30 stocks.  Gmi1226 There were 167 new 52 week highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  Still, the QQQQ is in the 4th day of its current down-trend.  AAPL and RIMM continued to weaken and only 62% of the IBD 100 stock list from 12/18 advanced.  See yesterday’s post below,  for my disclaimer.