Posted Tuesday, August 15, 2006 @ 8:02 am by Dr. Wish

GMI:1; Signs of strength?; Back in a few days

The  GMI remains at 1.  59-64% of the stocks in the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow 30 indexes advanced on Monday. Gmi0814  There were a relatively large number (94) of new highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  Monday was the 28th day in the QQQQ decline……..

I am no longer going to report on the IBD100 list from 5/15.  Only 17% of these stocks closed higher on Monday than the day they were listed in May and they have greatly underperformed my universe of 4,000 stocks (+36% in the same period).  Given yesterday’s post showing that IBD changes two thirds of the list in a 3 month period, I see little value to tracking an old list.  I may decide to just track recent lists for a shorter time. Clearly the IBD 100 list is not useful in a down trending market…….

While the market has been in a down trend, I am seeing some signs of life in the markets.  First, there were 94 new highs in my stock universe on Monday.  Second, the QQQQ has a bullish divergence on its MACD (the MACD did not decline to a new low along with the QQQQ ).  So watch the QQQQ carefully.  A close above 37.39 (now at 36.7) would begin to change the GMI and make me look for a turn…………

I am suspending posts for a few days because I will be out of town. 

Please send your comments to:  ewish@comcast.net.


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