Posted Tuesday, October 4, 2005 @ 7:44 am by Dr. Wish

GMI: +6; Strongest/weakest sectors

The GMI remains at +6, as the market continues to strengthen.  There were 332 new highs on Monday, the most since September 9.  Gmi1003 There were 183 stocks that hit a new high 10 days ago and closed higher Monday than 10 days earlier. Buying stocks at new highs 10 days ago has therefore been likely (69%) to have been profitable. The IBD Mutual Fund Index is now well above its 50 day average, indicating that growth stocks are rising.  More than one half  (52%) of the 4,000 stocks in my universe of stocks closed above their 10 week averages, and 32% are now in a short term up-trend.  29% of these stocks are now within 5% of their yearly highs and only 8% are near new lows.  The Dow 30 stocks remain the weakest stocks, with only 33% rising on Monday, compared with 58% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks and 48% of the S&P 500 stocks.  Monday was day two (U-2) of the QQQQ up-trend………………..

While there were 332 new highs yesterday, there was also a relatively large number (129) of new lows.  This suggests considerable variability in performance.  What sectors are  strong vs. weak?  Between 9/21-10/3 (since the QQQQ bottomed out) the following sectors rose the most:  Semiconductor-memory chips (+8.9%), Internet software and services (+8.4%), Apparel stores (+8.1%), General contractors (+7.6%) and copper (+7.3%).  The weakest were: Aluminum (-3.5%), Mortgage Investment (-3.3%), Nonmetallic Mineral Mining (-2.1%), Electronic Equipment (-1.9%), and Beverages-Brewers (-1.9%).  The strongest stocks in the strongest sector, semiconductor-memory chips, in descending order were:  LEXR, FLSH, MU, RMBS, ALSC, which were up 10%-32% during this 8 day period when the QQQQ rose 2.8%……………..

Please send me your feedback at: ewish@comcast.net.


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