Posted Tuesday, October 11, 2005 @ 12:01 am by Dr. Wish

GMI: +1; Another nasty day; optimists, addicts and masochists should buy stocks

The GMI is still +1 and the market looks pretty bad.  Housing stocks look real bad.  I talked about shorting them weeks ago.  I did, for a while, and am now waiting for a bounce to put on a new short.  Only 21% of the 4,000 stocks in my universe of stocks remain in a short term up-trend.  Gmi1010 There were 38 new highs and 140 new lows on Monday.  Only 31% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks advanced on Monday, compared with 17% of the S&P 500 stocks and 33% of the Dow 30 stocks.  Only 30% of stocks closed above their 10 week averages.  This is the fourth day (D-4) of the QQQQ down-trend. More stocks are closer to their 52 week lows (14%) than to their highs (11%). In my humble opinion, only incurable optimists, market addicts and masochists should buy stocks during this confirmed down-trend.  There is plenty of time to go long after the GMI signals an up-trend.

Please send me your feedback at: ewish@comcast.net.


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